Judgment is important: small mistakes do matter

Let’s go back to the basics of riichi judgment. East 1, flat situation. You receive this hand. Do you riichi?

ss1

 

If you’ve got your basics well learned, you should know the correct judgment is riichi. Looking at your own hand, pinfu and riichi is good enough and the EV from reaching is positive. Looking at the table, it’s a flat situation, you’re the first one to riichi, and even though North seems to be up to something, he’s already discarded two dora himself and he’s only called once thus far (medium chance of tenpai at this point and medium-low chance of high value), therefore it’s okay to ignore him.

However, what about here?

ss2

It’s the exact same hand, and yet, the score situation is different. Oya dealt into 12000 points in East 1, and he’s currently deep into last place. Keep in mind now, this is tonpuusen in Tenhou. Our hand is only riichi and pinfu, so it’s highly unlikely we’ll overtake first place. The merits for riichi are highly diminished in that aspect.

Now, on a more important aspect, what can we expect to happen after we riichi? West will likely fold. North depends on whether he’s tenpai or not, he might fold or not, but the truth is whether we win off him/he wins off of us/he tsumos/we tsumo, nothing is going to change that much.

The important theme of this hand is to end 4th place’s oya turn. I can’t stress this enough. Therefore, in this situation, even though we mentioned the basics dictate that you have to riichi this kind of hand, the table situation will not allow it. We have to dama and prioritize the ease of winning; even if we don’t win ourselves, we still have the possibility that West or North will freely go for the win, and we keep the ability to fold in case East goes aggressive.

If we make the mistake of reaching this hand, first of all it is likely to become a one on one battle against last place East. This is something we want to avoid if possible. Even getting to a draw with East in tenpai is not desirable, as we want to decrease his ability to renchan. If we riichi and win the hand, then great, but it’s not like those 2000 points will make a big difference compared to the risk.

I was playing on autopilot, and accidentally reached this hand by mistake. As a result, just as expected, West and North folded, East pushed and we got to a draw both of us tenpai; during his renchan, East got a quick riichi and instant mangan tsumo, putting me in a close battle against North for last place that North ended up winning. I’ll spare you the details of the rest of the game, as it’s just a bad result that resulted from this one, seemingly minimal mistake. But even things that seem really small like this and may even go unnoticed will have a great effect on the outcome of the game.

Don’t play on autopilot. Think before you discard.

5 thoughts on “Judgment is important: small mistakes do matter

  1. To further go into reasoning, is the reason you want to end the dealer’s turn to prevent yourself from ending up in last place? As in, is this decision made because of how Tenhou works?

    1. To prevent last place, who’s dealer, from having a turn where any and all of the hands they make will have a 1.5 increased value.

      1. Right, but the reason behind going for that is to keep them in last, correct? As in, that is more important than getting extra points now? Pinfu only is 1k, whereas Reach Pin is 2k minimum, selfdraw is 700pt more, and pinfu uradora is around 30% chance. Expected value is somewhere around 2.6-3k.

        As for “who bails and who doesn’t”, isn’t East pushing “worth” it to you? it gives them, and only them, a higher chance of dealing in, which is getting them even deeper. In fact, if the other players agreed with your reasoning, wouldn’t it be best for them to push as well, since either they win (yay for them) or they deal into your low-scoring hand (yay for moving the deal).

        East is going to push anyway, as they want to keep their deal (and there is not really a situation where they don’t push if you don’t reach but do push if you do).

        What I guess I’m saying is that, if you want to move East off the deal, I don’t see how reaching hurts that, other than trapping West/ North into dealing in unknowingly – something they’d still be inclined to do if they are following your idea. East’s behavior isn’t going to change. Is not reaching really worth just the West/North possible behavior change?

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